Sunday, June 30, 2019

10 things to look for at 2019 Wimbledon


Wimbledon begins on Monday, which means it is time for me to write my list of 10 things to look for at the lone grass court grand slam. If you haven't yet checked out the draws, click here. If you missed my recent recap of the French Open, click here.

#1. Can Rafael Nadal prove the seeding committee wrong? When it comes to seeding players, Wimbledon marches to the beat of their own drum, not always following the ATP rankings. A prime example of this is seeding world #3 Roger Federer #2 over world #2 Rafael Nadal. Nadal expressed some frustration about this earlier in the week, saying that Wimbledon needs to reward players who have the higher ranking. As for Federer, he is saying players need to "deal with it." Click here for more on this controversy.

Personally, I don't have an issue with grand slams seeding players as they see fit. I think Nadal should be seeded #1 at Roland Garros regardless of what his ranking is. His dominance on clay speaks for itself. Similarly, Federer has done a better job on grass than Nadal and thus deserves a nod in the seedings. Of course Nadal plans to use this for motivation. It'll be interesting to see if this will fuel him to make a deep run or if the Lawn Tennis Association will be proven right in their seedings.

#2. Will Ashleigh Barty defend her #1 ranking? After winning the French Open, Ashleigh Barty is now ranked #1 in the world and eager to prove that she belongs atop the women's game. There's no better way for her to prove that she belongs atop the rankings than for her to have a strong outing at Wimbledon, an event where she's never gotten past the third round.

#3. Should Novak Djokovic be favored to repeat as Wimbledon champion? On the surface, Novak Djokovic seems like the logical favorite to win Wimbledon. He's #1 in the world and is the defending champion. That said, his success at Wimbledon has been mixed over the years (four titles in 2011, 2014, 2015, and 2018). He's not as automatic on the grass as he is on the hard courts. While I do think Djokovic should be the favorite and he is my pick, it'll be interesting to see if anyone is able to give him a scare early and make things tougher than expected.

#4. Can Naomi Osaka make a deep run? World #2 Naomi Osaka has won the last two hard court grand slams (Australian Open and US Open), but has struggled to find similar success on clay and on grass. She's never gotten past the 3rd round at either the French Open or Wimbledon, so it's far from a guarantee that we'll see her in the second week. If Osaka wants to truly establish herself as an all-time great, she'll have to start winning away from the hard courts.

#5. Can Roger Federer go the distance? As mentioned earlier, Roger Federer is seeded #2 ahead of Rafael Nadal for his superior play on the grass, making everyone think we'll see a Djokovic/Fed final. After not having won Wimbledon since 2012, Federer won Wimbledon again in 2017, showing that he's still capable of winning on the grass. I don't think two years makes that much of a difference considering how well Fed has been playing, but given that he's 37 years old, it's fair to wonder whether he should really be considered the favorite given his age and mileage.

#6. Will Serena Williams overcome her seed? Serena Williams is seeded #11, giving her a tougher road than she is used to having. Given how wide open women's tennis is, it's tempting to pick Williams, but it should be noted that she is 37 years old and hasn't won Wimbledon since 2016. The key for her will be to make sure she can survive the first few rounds and get herself into the second week. If she can avoid an early upset, one has to really like her chances.

#7. Alexander Zverev needs to take advantage of his draw: At Roland Garros, Alexander Zverev ran into Novak Djokovic in the quarterfinals, getting a tough break in the draw. This time, the #6 seeded Zverev is projected to face #4 seeded Kevin Anderson in the quarterfinals. Anderson made the final last year, so it's not like he's an easy opponent. That said, you can bet Zverev would rather face Anderson than Djokovic in the quarterfinals. In my French Open recap, I said Zverev has to take advantage of future opportunities with a better draw and this is one of those opportunities.

#8. Can Johanna Konta take advantage of home court? It's time for me to add a little British flavor to my preview, so let me address Johanna Konta, who is seeded #19 in the women's draw. If there's any Brit to make a run at Wimbledon, it's definitely Konta. She's been to the semifinals before and could be in for another run this year. If there's any dark horse on the women's side, it's definitely her.

#9. Can Kevin Anderson get back to the final? Kevin Anderson's run to the final last year has earned him the #4 seed in the tournament, positioning him well to make another deep run. At 6'8", he brings a powerful serve and a style that suits that grass well. While he's not my pick to win it all, I do think Anderson is a legit threat to go the distance. Even after what I said about Zverev.

#10. Look for Petra Kvitova to win it all: I picked Novak Djokovic to win it all on the gentlemen's side and now I'm picking Petra Kvitova to win it all on the ladies' side. She's back from her hand injury and now ranked #6 in the world. It would truly be the feel good story of the year to see Kvitova win her third Wimbledon title and I really think it could happen. Her left-handed serve throws people off and she has great timing up at the net, which is a must for grass court tennis. Given how wide open the field is, I really think Kvitova has as good of a chance as anyone else.

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Tuesday, June 25, 2019

10 things to take away from the 2019 French Open

                                         (Corinne Dubreuil/FFT)


Before I preview Wimbledon, I need to write my 10 things to take away from the two weeks that were at the 2019 French Open. In the words of Rafael Nadal: "Vamos!"

#1. Rafael Nadal is unstoppable on clay: I picked Rafael Nadal to win it all at Roland Garros and he did not disappoint me, defeating Dominic Thiem 6-3, 5-7, 6-1, 6-1 in the final. This is Nadal's 12th French Open title and 18th grand slam title overall. At 33 years of age, there's no reason to doubt his ability to win at least a couple of more French Opens before he hangs up his tennis shoes. Nobody else on tour seems to have the goods to dethrone him any time soon.

#2. Ashleigh Barty is the real deal: Ashleigh Barty navigated the crazy maze that is women's tennis to win her first grand slam title at Roland Garros, defeating Marketa Vondrousova 6-1, 6-3 in the final. While it was a wide open field, Barty deserves a lot of credit for getting across the finish line. Her 6-7, 6-3, 6-3 win over Amanda Anisimova in the semifinals was incredibly gutty. She's now ranked #1 in the world, so she's going to have to get used to playing with a bigger target on her back. I'm confident she can handle it.

#3. Dominic Thiem isn't ready to win Roland Garros: While he is the #2 clay player in the world, Dominic Thiem did nothing to convince me that he's going to be the one to knock Nadal off his perch as the king of clay. While clay is his best surface, Thiem sadly might have better odds winning a grand slam on a non-clay surface. At least for the next little while.

#4. Is Marketa Vondrousova a one hit wonder? If you are an artist that has one track peak at #2 on the charts you are deemed a one hit wonder, so it's fair to say that if you reach one grand slam final your whole career you too are a one hit wonder of tennis. Outside of her run to the final at this year's French Open, Marketa hasn't done much at grand slams (2nd round at Australian Open, 1st round at Wimbledon, and 4th round at US Open). It'll be interesting to see if she'll start to be a consistent presence in the second week of grand slams or if she'll fade.

#5. Roger Federer should play on clay more often: While he didn't win the title like he hoped, Roger Federer had a really good run to the semifinals before falling to Nadal 3-6, 4-6, 2-6. That straight set beatdown shouldn't discourage him from playing future French Opens. If anything, it gives him a little bit of momentum going into Wimbledon and the fans certainly like to watch him play. It'll be interesting to see if Federer will return to Roland Garros next year.

#6. American women's tennis has a bright future, even on clay: Despite Serena Williams going down in the third round, American women's tennis did really well at Roland Garros. For starters, it was an American Sofia Kenin that took her out. Secondly, there were four Americans (Madison Keys, Sofia Kenin, Amanda Anisimova, and Sloane Stephens) in the fourth round, three in the quarterfinals (Keys, Anisimova, and Stephens), and one in the semifinals (Anisimova). That's pretty good for a country that favors the hard courts.

#7. Novak Djokovic should be disappointed: If you are Novak Djokovic, the only acceptable outcome at Roland Garros outside of winning the whole tournament would be to lose a hard fought battle to Rafael Nadal in the final. That did not happen to Djokovic as he instead lost to Dominic Thiem in the semifinals 2-6, 6-3, 5-7, 7-5, 5-7. Luckily for Djokovic, he has Wimbledon coming up soon.

#8. Naomi Osaka needs to pick it up on the clay: Despite having won the US Open and Australian Open, Naomi Osaka flamed out in the third round at Roland Garros, which is consistent with 2018 and 2016. Osaka has similarly never gotten past the third round at Wimbledon (2017 and 2018), so we can talk about that more in a few days, but it is suffice to say that if Osaka wants to be ranked #1 in the world more consistently, she's going to have to pick it up on the non-hard court surfaces.

#9. Alexander Zverev did what he needed to do: Alexander Zverev lost in the quarterfinals to Novak Djokovic 7-5, 6-2, 6-2, which while disappointing is exactly what he needed to do at an absolute minimum. He got a bad draw as the #5 seed having to face the #1 seed in the quarterfinals, so all things considered, he should feel ok about how Roland Garros turned out. For now anyways. He'll have to pick it up in future years and at future grand slams later this year.

#10. Simona Halep should be disappointed as well: Another player that should be disappointed with how they played at Roland Garros is Simona Halep, who fell to Amanda Anisimova 2-6, 4-6 in the quarterfinals. Halep came in as the #3 seed and defending champion, so to fall in the quarterfinals to an unseeded player is really a bummer.

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